Africa set to lead global economic growth in 2026 – IMF

Africa is projected to emerge as the world’s fastest-growing economic region in 2026, with the majority of countries posting the highest global GDP growth rates, according to data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

IMF figures, indicate that most economies expected to record growth above 6% in 2026 will be on the African continent. Several countries are forecast to outperform global peers, reinforcing Africa’s growing role in global economic expansion.

East African economies are expected to drive much of this momentum. Rwanda, Uganda and Ethiopia are projected to record GDP growth rates exceeding 7%, supported by infrastructure investment, services expansion and industrial development. Meanwhile, South Sudan and Guinea are forecast to achieve double-digit growth, largely due to increased oil output and rising mineral production.

The IMF notes that Africa’s growth outlook is being strengthened by continued foreign direct investment, expanding regional trade and rising demand for critical commodities. However, the Fund has also cautioned that the continent faces significant structural and macroeconomic risks that could undermine long-term gains.

Among the key concerns highlighted are the impact of climate change, ongoing political instability in some regions, and high levels of external debt. By 2026, African countries are expected to repay close to $95 billion to external creditors. In countries such as Kenya, debt servicing is projected to consume up to 20% of national budgets, placing pressure on public finances and social spending.

Despite investment inflows, development gaps remain. The IMF points out that countries such as the Central African Republic continue to rank among the least electrified globally, underscoring persistent infrastructure and energy access challenges.

Africa set to lead global economic growth in 2026

While the outlook positions Africa as a global growth leader in 2026, the IMF stresses that sustaining this trajectory will require stronger fiscal discipline, debt management, climate resilience strategies and political stability across the continent.

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