Fuel prices surge across Africa as Iran war drives oil costs higher

African governments have sharply increased fuel prices as the war in Iran drives global oil costs higher, raising concerns about inflation and the economic strain on households across the continent.

Countries that rely heavily on imported petroleum products are particularly exposed to supply disruptions, and officials are taking a mix of fiscal and regulatory measures to manage the impact.

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In Ghana, the National Petroleum Authority raised mandatory minimum price floors for the first half of April, pushing petrol prices up around fifteen percent to 13.30 cedis (US$1.21) per litre and diesel by roughly nineteen percent to 17.10 cedis. President John Mahama said the government was considering additional measures to cushion consumers, including reducing fuel margins and reviewing recently imposed petroleum levies. He also highlighted the possibility of securing alternative supplies through a formal agreement with Nigeria’s Dangote refinery, as Ghana imports about seventy percent of its refined fuel.

In Malawi, the Energy Regulatory Authority implemented even steeper increases. Petrol rose thirty-four percent to 6,672 kwacha ($3.89) per litre and diesel by thirty-five percent to 6,687 kwacha. The regulator noted that petroleum prices had jumped forty-two percent for petrol and eighty-seven percent for diesel between January and March on a free-on-board basis, prompting a switch to fortnightly pricing averages.

Tanzania’s Energy and Water Utility Regulatory Authority set a new petrol price cap of 3,820 shillings ($1.49) per litre in Dar es Salaam, marking a thirty-three percent increase from March. Diesel also rose thirty-three percent to 3,802 shillings. Authorities stressed that the fuel supply remained sufficient to meet national demand.

In Mauritania, petrol prices rose fifteen point three percent and diesel by ten percent. Economic Affairs Minister Abdallah Ould Souleymane likened the crisis to the 1973 oil shock, and said the government would offset the burden on vulnerable households by raising the minimum wage and providing cash transfers to low-income families.

The Gambia increased petrol prices by eighteen point seven nine percent and diesel by twelve point two percent, while governments in Botswana and Mali also announced substantial fuel price hikes.

In South Africa, one of the continent’s largest economies, the government intervened to curb further price rises by temporarily reducing its fuel levy for the month of April. The move followed pressure from trade unions and business groups concerned about the impact on consumers and industry.

Economists warn that rising fuel prices will ripple through African economies, affecting transport, food, and utility costs and potentially exacerbating inflationary pressures already felt in several countries.

The increases illustrate the continent’s vulnerability to global oil market shocks. Most African nations import the bulk of their refined petroleum products, leaving them exposed to fluctuations in international crude prices and supply disruptions linked to geopolitical crises.

Governments are considering both short-term fiscal measures, such as tax reductions or price caps, and longer-term strategies to secure alternative sources of refined fuel and strengthen domestic supply chains. Ghana’s potential supply agreement with Dangote Refinery is one such initiative aimed at reducing dependency on volatile global markets.

Despite rising prices, regulators in some countries stressed that supplies remained sufficient to meet demand. However, for millions of African households, the sudden surge in fuel costs is expected to increase the cost of living and place further strain on low-income families.

The ongoing war in Iran has intensified uncertainty in global oil markets, driving fuel prices higher worldwide and highlighting Africa’s exposure to external shocks. As governments respond with policy adjustments and price interventions, the region faces a delicate balancing act between economic stability, social protection, and energy security.

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